President Trump Impeachment Odds

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Former President Trump’s second impeachment trial is now underway in the US Senate and pundits are predicting that the majority vote required for a guilty verdict will not be achieved.

Before he was acquitted, Trump's odds of winning the next election were 10-1. Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris is the bookmaker's 7-2 favorite, followed by President Joe Biden at 4-1 to win. The betting markets are going full throttle in trying to predict the outcome of next week’s impeachment trial.While Democrats race to convict former President Trump, the gamblers are putting their money down on the Senate failing to get the required two-thirds (67) majority vote.

Trump impeachment odds on Predictit: 39 percent Predictit, which bills itself as a “stock market for politics,” currently has Trump’s impeachment odds at 39 percent.

Bovada Online Sportsbook has posted the following Presidential impeachment odds for Trump that also suggest an acquittal, with the most likely final vote falling somewhere in the range of 53-57 total Senatorial votes.

How Many US Senators Will Vote To Convict Donald Trump On Incitement By April 29, 2021?

  • 55 Or 56 +180
  • 53 Or 54 +210
  • 51 Or 52 +800
  • 57 Or 58 +800
  • 67 Or More +1600
  • 50 Or Fewer +1600
  • 59 Or 60 +2000
  • 61 Or 62 +5000
  • 63 Or 64 +10000
  • 65 Or 66 +10000

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s pretrial remarks contained damning accusations levied against Donald Trump and his involvement in inciting the activities that occurred on Capitol Hill on January 6 that would concern any law-abiding citizen in the United States, but the former President is confident in his acquittal and is already planning his triumphant comeback.

The United States Capitol was invaded and desecrated.

The Senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump is about truth and accountability following this despicable attack.

— Chuck Schumer (@SenSchumer) February 9, 2021

A recent article published by Politico is suggesting that instead of running as far away from Trump as possible following the US Capitol invasion that occurred less than a month ago, the Republican Party has now realigned with Donald and are poised for his acquittal and instant reinstallation as the leader of the GOP.

Trump’s betting odds are looking good for receiving a ruling of not guilty at his impeachment trial. The 67-vote majority that is required for Donald Trump to receive a guilty verdict from the US Senate currently features money line odds of +10000.

That means that bets on a judgment of guilty for Trump will pay $100 for each $1 risked. That converts to a minuscule chance (1%) that Trump has to face the music for the violence that erupted during the Electoral College certification process.

In the immediate moments following the reconvening of the Senate and the final Electoral certification, members appeared to be in unison across the board in condemning the day’s brutality and placing the blame directly on the President, but now it seems that the upcoming vote is more geared towards identifying GOP turncoats and exposing them prior to the midterm election cycle.

Some Republican Senators have cited the unconstitutionality of attempting to impeach a President that is no longer serving in office, while others seem more eager to simply move on and focus on the current regime’s agenda.

The above elements are potentially adding up for a victory for the former POTUS, and even if you aren’t a fan of his, you can earn money on the odds that Trump will be removed from office by making the correct selection in the above prop bet.

Donald Trump has rejected a request by the Democratic Party to attend the hearing and speak on his own behalf, so these proceedings could wrap up quickly.

It’ll be a long time before any other political betting odds that are currently on the table will payout, so get in on these impeachment lines now before a decision is rendered.

Every US President faces talk of impeachment at some point during their term(s) in office, but impeachment betting odds are usually reserved for when there is a serious Congressional push to launch an inquiry or bring charges against a sitting head of state.

Of course, when that happens, impeachment odds become the most popular and sought-after betting lines at legal online sportsbooks, and that’s been the case in 2019 as Donald Trump faces down serious allegations of impeachable offenses.

Still, because impeachment is an intensely political process with ramifications on both sides of the aisle and with the public at large (no matter which way the proceedings go), bettors are often extremely tempered in their analysis of whether or not a President will be impeached. That said, as with all legal political betting, there is much to be gleaned about a President’s impeachment chances by looking to the odds boards.

Is It Legal To Bet On Presidential Impeachment Odds?

It is largely considered to be legal to wager on Presidential impeachment odds if you use an offshore betting site to do so. Despite the growing number of US-regulated online and brick-and-mortar sportsbooks popping up across the country, you will not find political betting odds at these locations.

This is because most state governments either disallow or discourage sportsbooks from offering election odds. Fortunately, political betting has always been popular at offshore sites, and those remain the only places to find odds on politics and government-related issues.

Important note: In two US states – Connecticut and Washington – there are laws on the books that ban online betting of any kind. That said, these laws are considered unenforceable, and neither state has ever arrested or fined any resident for gambling over the Internet. Still, if you live in CT or WA, we advise you to follow local and all federal betting laws and only bet online at your own risk.

Odds

Best Sportsbooks Offering Impeachment Betting Lines

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Betting On Donald Trump's Impeachment Odds

Typically, you can bet on Donald Trump’s impeachment odds at any reputable offshore sports betting site, but there are no betting lines posted for his impeachment chances at the moment. That is largely due to the forthcoming 2020 Presidential election, where Democratic Party leaders are hopeful that US voters will oust Trump and alleviate the need for them to begin the impeachment process again.

Our political prop bets guide is a good tool for exploring prop bets such as impeachment odds, and other factors surrounding the 2020 Presidential election. This prob bet tutorial will properly prepare bettors for when impeachment odds eventually reappear at political sportsbooks.

Current Odds for Donald Trump to be Impeached Again

There are no current odds for Donald Trump being impeached at major offshore legal sports betting sites because of the upcoming Presidential election in November. Democrats, and even some Republicans, like US Senator Mitt Romney, are hopeful that Joe Biden will win the Presidency and alleviate the need for impeachment hearings to begin again.

Will Donald Trump be impeached again? If he wins his reelection bid in 2020, he almost certainly will face impeachment hearings in the US House. If and when that happens, top political sportsbooks will produce odds that will allow bettors to wager the outcome.

Will Biden complete first term as U.S. President?

  • Yes -165
  • No +125

Will New Articles Of Impeachment Be Filed

  • Before Jan 20, 2021 - Yes -220
  • Before Jan 20, 2021 - No +155

What Is a Presidential Impeachment?

Odds That Trump Get Impeached

Impeachment is a largely misunderstood concept. Many people think that impeachment means that a President will be removed from office, but that’s actually never happened. Impeachment is a legal accusation of criminal malfeasance, and it is purely a political process. An analogy to Presidential impeachment is, for private citizens, a criminal or civil charge in a court of law. And like every person in America, once impeached, the President gets due process before removal can ever happen.

Throughout all of US history, only two Presidents have ever been impeached: Bill Clinton (1998-1999) and Andrew Johnson (1868). Richard Nixon was set to face impeachment in 1974, but he resigned the Presidency before any charges were brought.

Bookies Odds On Trump Impeachment

How Does the Impeachment Process Work?

The Presidential impeachment process is simple enough, and it includes the following fundamental procedural steps:

Trump Impeachment Chances Vegas Odds

  1. The US House of Representatives opens an impeachment inquiry against a sitting President after reports or evidence that said President has committed an illegal action that falls under the umbrella of “Treason, Bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.”
  2. The US House takes a vote on whether or not to bring Articles of Impeachment against the President. A simple majority is required to officially bring such charges.
  3. Once the Articles of Impeachment are passed, the US Senate takes over, conducting a trial of the President. This trial is overseen by the Chief Justice of the US Supreme Court.
  4. If the President is found guilty via a two-thirds supermajority vote in the Senate, he or she is immediately removed from office.
  5. The Vice President then becomes the President of the United States.
  6. If the VP is also impeached, the House Speaker would become President.

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Chances Of Trump Impeachment

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